Analysis / Fixture Explorer

Every fixture, in focus.

Home and away strengths, matchup history, and transparent predictions.

2023/24 historical results

Home team

Away team

Historical snapshot (exclude this date and later)

↑ Import results CSV

Verified 2023/24 results preloaded. Choose a historical snapshot; only earlier matches affect predictions.

Historical snapshot · experimental goals model v0.5

Home expected goals

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Away expected goals

Home clean sheet

Away clean sheet

Independent Poisson clean-sheet estimate. Model is uncalibrated; these are not betting odds.

Dynamic ratings

Fixture difficulty

0 = favorable · 100 = difficult. Difficulty ratings are not probabilities.

Home / away intelligence

Venue-adjusted

Matchup history

Context only

Previous meetings are not included in expected goals. Individual player returns require a separate player-history dataset.

Schedule intelligence

Planned integration

European and domestic cup fixtures

Future integration: Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, FA Cup and EFL Cup schedules. No live cup data is connected yet.

Possible blank and double gameweeks

Future integration: distinguish confirmed rearrangements from speculative postponements. This demo makes no live gameweek claims.

How the predictions work

In demo mode, venue-specific illustrative goals-based rates are blended with team-wide averages. For imported results, team-wide and venue-specific goals-for/goals-against rates are estimated from the supplied completed matches with shrinkage toward league averages. Expected home goals = baseline home goals × home attack ratio × away concession ratio; similarly for away goals. Clean-sheet chance = exp(−opponent expected goals). Ratings use provisional fixed ranges. No xG feed, injuries, rotation or player-level data is connected.

Research prototype, not an official FPL product. Demo figures are fictional. Imported results are user-supplied, local to your browser, and never uploaded. Predictions are historical what-if snapshots, not actual pre-match archived forecasts. Select a cutoff to prevent future-match leakage. The archive does not establish that a future fixture is scheduled. Matchup history is restricted to imported matches.